Hey Trump — Just Some Numbers For You

· HEY, BY THE WAY ·

Hey, by the way — did you like my picture? I noticed how much you have enjoyed making AI images. It's fun :))) Sixteen of them in one morning, on July 26. Warplanes over Kharg, a burning tanker, etc. Nobody thought any of it was real, and that was never the point — the point is that a machine will hand you the feeling of a win sixteen times before noon, and it will never once tell you no. The thing in my picture is an abacus. It cannot do that for you. It only counts what is actually there. Everything below this box is an abacus.

· YOUR OWN NETWORK · JULY 17–20 ·

Fox News poll, conducted July 17–20, 2026, under the direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). 1,003 registered voters. Margin of error ±3. — Job approval, MAGA Republicans: 97 percent. — Job approval, non-MAGA Republicans: 51 percent. Down 13 points since June. — Job approval, rural voters: 44 approve, 56 disapprove. In June it was 51–49. — “Extremely motivated” to vote, MAGA Republicans: 66 percent. Non-MAGA Republicans: 41 percent. — “Extremely motivated” to vote, Democrats overall: 68 percent. Republicans overall: 57 percent. — Republicans who say the country needs “dramatic” or “revolutionary” change: 28 percent.

· THE SAME POLL, ON EVERYTHING ELSE ·

— Overall job approval: 39 percent. Third straight month. One point above your all-time low of 38. — The economy: 33 approve, 67 disapprove. — Inflation: 27 approve, 73 disapprove. — Iran: 34 approve, 66 disapprove. — Voters who rate the economy negatively: 75 percent. — Voters who say inflation has caused them financial hardship: 75 percent. “Serious” hardship: 34 percent. — Generic congressional ballot: Democrat 53, Republican 46.

· EVERY OTHER POLL THIS MONTH ·

— Pew Research Center, released July 23: 34 approve, 64 disapprove. Among Republicans: 69 approve, 29 disapprove. — Emerson College, July 19–20, 1,100 likely voters: 39 approve, 57 disapprove. Generic ballot, Democrats 53, Republicans 42. — Economist/YouGov, July 3–6: 35 approve, 61 disapprove. Net −25. — Washington Post–Ipsos, mid-July: 37 percent. — CNBC, July: 40 approve, 59 disapprove. — Silver Bulletin polling average: 39.2 percent. You have not been above 40 since the end of March.

· THE PARTY ITSELF ·

— Pew's party-identification series: Republican or Republican-leaning, 53 percent in 2025, 43 percent in 2026. Democratic or Democratic-leaning, 40 percent to 46. — Gallup, June 1–15, 1,001 adults: Republicans who say they are “extremely proud” to be American — 70 percent. Down seven points in a year. The lowest figure ever recorded for the party.

· YOUR BASE, ON YOUR WAR ·

— Politico/Public First, July 13–15, 2,061 respondents, ±2: self-identified MAGA voters who say the war is worth its economic cost — 50 percent in May, 37 percent in July. — Self-identified MAGA voters who blame the war for the rise in gas prices: 57 percent. — Washington Post–Ipsos: 69 percent disapprove of your handling of the war. 29 percent approve. — Financial Times, July 5: 58 percent say the war was not economically worth it. 40 percent say the United States is in a weaker position than before it started. — Fox News: 56 percent oppose the military action, 40 percent strongly. 64 percent now expect it to last a year or more — up 13 points since May. — Groundwork Collaborative: 66 percent of Americans, including a majority of Republicans, say you are more focused on the war than on lowering costs. — And the one that cuts the other way, which belongs on the page too: 76 percent of Republicans still support the military action itself. (Fox News)

· WHAT IT HAS COST ·

— American service members killed: 18. Injured: 447. — Iranian civilians killed, by independent estimates: at least 1,721. — Spent so far: $37.5 billion. Additional war funding approved by Republicans: $73 billion. — Drawn out of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve: 172 million barrels. — National average price of gasoline: $4.11 a gallon. Additional cost per household: about $305.

· THE REPUBLICANS ON THE RECORD ·

House war powers resolution, July 23. Passed 214–208. Four Republicans voted for it. — Thomas Massie (Kentucky): “American servicemen and women are dying, and gas and fertilizer prices are soaring.” — Brian Fitzpatrick (Pennsylvania): “We must keep the world safe, and we must also follow the law.” — Tom Barrett (Michigan): “The United States of America cannot be dragged into another endless war.” — Warren Davidson (Ohio). Senate resolution, the same day. Failed 49–47. — Susan Collins (Maine), the only Republican to vote yes: “That deadline is not a suggestion; it is a requirement.” — Rand Paul (Kentucky), on the record earlier: “The war shouldn't have been begun without congressional permission.” — Lisa Murkowski (Alaska): “The President should have sought authorization from Congress before striking Iran.” — Bill Cassidy (Louisiana), who voted for the June version: “Until the Administration provides clarity, no congressional authorization or extension can be justified.”